STATIONARY OF AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL THROUGH CHARACTERISTIC EQUATION AND UNIT ROOT TEST

Autoregressive model (AR) is one of the applications from the stochastic process. This model is aimed to predict the future value using the previous observations. Time series stationary can be described from the model that is dened in the dif- ference equation. On the other hand, the time series...

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主要作者: Herlambang, Wahyu
格式: Final Project
語言:Indonesia
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在線閱讀:https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/34153
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總結:Autoregressive model (AR) is one of the applications from the stochastic process. This model is aimed to predict the future value using the previous observations. Time series stationary can be described from the model that is dened in the dif- ference equation. On the other hand, the time series stationary can be seen from the rst two-moment that is time invariant. The AR model is being used in this nal paper are AR(1) and AR(2). There are some parameters in the models must be estimated to give the representative result between the model and the sample data. The parameter estimation can be achieved through the maximum likelihood estimation. the autoregressive time series stationary is usually tested by unit root test which is aimed to test the eigenvalues of the characteristic equation from the autoregressive model through their parameters.