FORECAST FOR NATIONAL EXAMINATION VALUE WITH SMOOTHING METHOD : CASE STUDY
Forecast with time series means to predict the future base on the past series pattern. Since the time series forecast is to predict what will happen, without knowing the cause why it happens. Basically this forecast treats system as a black box that the mechanism inside is unknown. Exponential smoot...
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Main Author: | |
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Format: | Theses |
Language: | Indonesia |
Online Access: | https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/12438 |
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Institution: | Institut Teknologi Bandung |
Language: | Indonesia |
Summary: | Forecast with time series means to predict the future base on the past series pattern. Since the time series forecast is to predict what will happen, without knowing the cause why it happens. Basically this forecast treats system as a black box that the mechanism inside is unknown. Exponential smoothing method, as a time series method, treats the past data with different weight and the weight decrease exponentially from the last data to the first data. |
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