DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS

DHF (Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever) has been a problem in Indonesia for a long time and its incidence rate fluctuating each year. Various researches have been conducted and it is proven that climatic factors affect dengue incidence rate, and also effective in some region to predict the incidence rate. Ho...

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Main Author: UTAMI, DIASTUTI
Format: Final Project
Language:Indonesia
Online Access:https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/26634
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Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung
Language: Indonesia
id id-itb.:26634
spelling id-itb.:266342018-10-03T13:48:25ZDENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS UTAMI, DIASTUTI Indonesia Final Project INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/26634 DHF (Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever) has been a problem in Indonesia for a long time and its incidence rate fluctuating each year. Various researches have been conducted and it is proven that climatic factors affect dengue incidence rate, and also effective in some region to predict the incidence rate. However, application using machine learning is still rare and concentrated to certain region only. A study of forecasting Dengue cases in a bigger region and creating prompt result is needed to reach the goal of epidemiological surveillance in Indonesia. The study in this paper consisted of data from regions in Java based on its meteorological data availability, and it is found that albeit the RBF SVR shown the best result among other methods, climatic factors are not sufficient to forecast the incidence rate of DHF. text
institution Institut Teknologi Bandung
building Institut Teknologi Bandung Library
continent Asia
country Indonesia
Indonesia
content_provider Institut Teknologi Bandung
collection Digital ITB
language Indonesia
description DHF (Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever) has been a problem in Indonesia for a long time and its incidence rate fluctuating each year. Various researches have been conducted and it is proven that climatic factors affect dengue incidence rate, and also effective in some region to predict the incidence rate. However, application using machine learning is still rare and concentrated to certain region only. A study of forecasting Dengue cases in a bigger region and creating prompt result is needed to reach the goal of epidemiological surveillance in Indonesia. The study in this paper consisted of data from regions in Java based on its meteorological data availability, and it is found that albeit the RBF SVR shown the best result among other methods, climatic factors are not sufficient to forecast the incidence rate of DHF.
format Final Project
author UTAMI, DIASTUTI
spellingShingle UTAMI, DIASTUTI
DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS
author_facet UTAMI, DIASTUTI
author_sort UTAMI, DIASTUTI
title DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS
title_short DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS
title_full DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS
title_fullStr DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS
title_full_unstemmed DENGUE FEVER OUTBREAK INCIDENCE RATE MODEL FORECASTING USING CLIMATIC FACTORS
title_sort dengue fever outbreak incidence rate model forecasting using climatic factors
url https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/26634
_version_ 1822021070148861952