MOLECULAR MODEL OF SPREADING DENGUE HEMORRHAGIC FEVER
Data released by the World Health Organization in 2015 declared that nearly half of the world's population is at risk of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF). Factors that affect the complexity of dengue include uncertainty of climate change, spatial heterogeneity factor and mobility of human, lifecy...
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Main Author: | |
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Format: | Theses |
Language: | Indonesia |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/33589 |
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Institution: | Institut Teknologi Bandung |
Language: | Indonesia |
Summary: | Data released by the World Health Organization in 2015 declared that nearly half of the world's population is at risk of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF). Factors that affect the complexity of dengue include uncertainty of climate change, spatial heterogeneity factor and mobility of human, lifecycle of mosquito, the limitations government budget, and there are no medicine and vaccine that ready yet to cure or give human an immunity to dengue. A molecular model of the spread of dengue fever that concern with the spatial heterogeneity is being discussed in this thesis. In this molecular model, every human and female Aedes aegypti mosquito are seen as particles, while the human and mosquito populations are seen as particle systems. Three important processes are considered in this molecular model, they are changes of population size process, changes in position of particles process, and changes of particles infection status process. The effects of the interaction that occur in each individual are modeled more closely to the facts through these three processes. The simulation results show that the speed of the spread of dengue fever increases with the value of interaction range. |
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