STATISTICAL DEPENDENCE EXPLORATION OF CLIMATE DATA USING COPULA, MARKOV MODEL, AND HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL

Statistical dependence exploration of climate data using copula, Markov mo- del, and hidden Markov model will be discussed in this thesis . Many researches on climatology usually use assumptions on the variables being normally distri- buted or having the same marginal distribution function. In re...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Novianti Nurfajri, Rizki
Format: Theses
Language:Indonesia
Online Access:https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/44474
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung
Language: Indonesia
Description
Summary:Statistical dependence exploration of climate data using copula, Markov mo- del, and hidden Markov model will be discussed in this thesis . Many researches on climatology usually use assumptions on the variables being normally distri- buted or having the same marginal distribution function. In reality, only some variables are normally distributed. In addition, each variable would not have same marginal distribution function. These assumptions cause the analysis result to be far from reality. As an alternative the problem can be solved by copula method. In this thesis, copula method will be applied to study the dependence to sequence time series data. Transition probability of one state to other state in Markov model will then be determined and used to estimate next state using hidden Markov model.