STUDY OF CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENT THROUGH XGBOOST ALGORITHM

A good credit risk assessment can maximize the economic benefits derived from credit. The challenge of credit scoring, especially in Indonesia, is to help reduce non-performing loans (NPL). For this reason, a credit scoring algorithm is needed that is able to help identify potential borrowers wit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Adiputra, Sutawijaya
Format: Final Project
Language:Indonesia
Online Access:https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/56987
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Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung
Language: Indonesia
Description
Summary:A good credit risk assessment can maximize the economic benefits derived from credit. The challenge of credit scoring, especially in Indonesia, is to help reduce non-performing loans (NPL). For this reason, a credit scoring algorithm is needed that is able to help identify potential borrowers with high potential to be unable to repay loans. In this final project, an algorithm was developed to assess credit risk with a data science-based approach. The developed algorithm applies several methods, namely decision tree, random forest, and XGBoost. The data used for this project is SIJEKH 1. Classifier creation is carried out in five stages, starts from understanding business needs, understanding data, preprocessing data, optimizing parameters and classification, and evaluating. Data preprocessing is done by eliminating incomplete data, then balancing the data using SMOTE. Classification is done by applying k-fold validation. The performance of the model between one algorithm and another is compared, the decision tree has a false positive rate (FPR) of 93%, random forest has FPR of 97%, and XGBoost after optimization has FPR of 12%. The XGBoost algorithm performs the best but consumes the most training time. After optimization, the XGBoost algorithm had a decrease in FPR from 94% to 12%.