A SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR ANALYZING EXPORT DECISIONS IN OIL PALM EMPTY FRUIT BUNCH BIOMASS BUSINESS (CASE AT AILESH POWER)
As a part of the global warming corresponding policies, many countries have decided to replace their power plants' energy sources from coal to biomass. This situation opens new export opportunities for biomass-rich countries like Indonesia. This research analyzes export decision spectrums of oi...
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| Main Author: | |
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| Format: | Theses |
| Language: | Indonesia |
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| Online Access: | https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/57154 |
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| Institution: | Institut Teknologi Bandung |
| Language: | Indonesia |
| Summary: | As a part of the global warming corresponding policies, many countries have decided to replace their power plants' energy sources from coal to biomass. This situation opens new export opportunities for biomass-rich countries like Indonesia. This research analyzes export decision spectrums of oil palm empty fruit bunch (EFB) biomass producers. Using the system dynamics modeling (SD) approach, we assess several export scenarios considering several factors and subsystems such as the developed through the biomass power industry development, biomass production and export, and the Financial Model for biomass business. The SD simulation shows that the feed-in-tariff stimulus scheme will lead to the importers' power plants' installed capacity, leading to a sustainable biomass demand for Indonesia. Using our model, the biomass producer can assess its export decision considering the long-run commodity price, capacity, and company income. |
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