HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM

Insurance companies are institutions that bear the risk of their customers. In order for insurance companies can continue to run, it is necessary to know the risks faced in the future. Disability is an example of risk that can be borne by insurance companies. In this final project, a disability ince...

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Main Author: Cannarivo Buntarco, Reuven
Format: Final Project
Language:Indonesia
Online Access:https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/64992
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Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung
Language: Indonesia
id id-itb.:64992
spelling id-itb.:649922022-06-20T07:38:04ZHIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM Cannarivo Buntarco, Reuven Indonesia Final Project disability insurance, Markov chain, hidden Markov model, expectation maximization algorithm INSTITUT TEKNOLOGI BANDUNG https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/64992 Insurance companies are institutions that bear the risk of their customers. In order for insurance companies can continue to run, it is necessary to know the risks faced in the future. Disability is an example of risk that can be borne by insurance companies. In this final project, a disability inception probability model is built using the hidden Markov model where the probability of disability inception is influenced by the age group which the information has been obtained and the unobserved time trend. This hidden Markov model is estimated with the expectation maximization algorithm and compared with the time series model. As an initial guess, the parameters will be estimated using logistic regression. The mean squared error is used to select the best model and the efficiency is taken into account in obtaining model parameters. text
institution Institut Teknologi Bandung
building Institut Teknologi Bandung Library
continent Asia
country Indonesia
Indonesia
content_provider Institut Teknologi Bandung
collection Digital ITB
language Indonesia
description Insurance companies are institutions that bear the risk of their customers. In order for insurance companies can continue to run, it is necessary to know the risks faced in the future. Disability is an example of risk that can be borne by insurance companies. In this final project, a disability inception probability model is built using the hidden Markov model where the probability of disability inception is influenced by the age group which the information has been obtained and the unobserved time trend. This hidden Markov model is estimated with the expectation maximization algorithm and compared with the time series model. As an initial guess, the parameters will be estimated using logistic regression. The mean squared error is used to select the best model and the efficiency is taken into account in obtaining model parameters.
format Final Project
author Cannarivo Buntarco, Reuven
spellingShingle Cannarivo Buntarco, Reuven
HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM
author_facet Cannarivo Buntarco, Reuven
author_sort Cannarivo Buntarco, Reuven
title HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM
title_short HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM
title_full HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM
title_fullStr HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM
title_full_unstemmed HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL APPROACH TO DISABILITY INCEPTION PROBABILITY WITH EXPECTATION MAXIMIZATION ALGORITHM
title_sort hidden markov model approach to disability inception probability with expectation maximization algorithm
url https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/64992
_version_ 1822932601997885440