THE INFLUENCE OF INVESTMENT IN PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRI ON TRIP GENERATION AND ATTRACTION BASED ON THE ANALYSIS WITH MODIFIED MODEL LOWRY APPROACH

• Main Author: Budiman, Arief
• Format: Dissertations
• Language: Indonesia
• Subjects: Transportasi ; transportasi darat
• Online Access: https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/75357
• Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung

Industrial development usually leads to a significant increase in increasing traffic. This is due to a number of reasons, including: (i) an increase in the workforce where industrial development often creates more jobs, leading to an increase in the number of people going to and from industrial areas; (ii) industrial development may change land use patterns, which may increase traffic in one area or certain zones and lead to other zones. This change in land use pattern, for example, an area that was previously used for agriculture can become an industrial area with a much higher traffic volume. The next effect is an increase in income levels where industrial development tends to increase local income levels. As people's incomes increase, car ownership often increases, which in turn contributes to traffic. Furthermore, the service industri, where the industri also leads to growth in the secondary and tertiary sektors such as food, retail and other services. It also generates additional traffic as employees and customers have to go back and forth; The aim of this research is to examine the potential trip generation impact of a large industrial development by using the Model Lowry to predict demand based on inputs of two main components: travel zone location and permit usage. The basic assumption is that each passenger (resident and worker) and goods are located in a certain residential location, and the land is divided into different uses. With the combined input-output model, the Model Lowry is studied by considering permits as an additional factor of production besides labor and capital, so as to be able to describe the distribution of land use and trip generation. The output of the Model Lowry for traffic estimation takes into account the distance decay factor (decay distance) from work by assigning a lower traffic flow to distant locations. That is, the predicted volume of traffic between two locations will be lower if they are farther apart compared to locations that are closer together. The results of the study are in the form of a framework for calculating trip generation and attraction due to investment and in the form of a distance decay value for the base sector of 0.2 and a distance decay value of non-base sector of 2.2.