ESTIMATION OF LIABILITIES FOR REMAINING COVERAGEFOR WHOLE LIFE INSURANCE USING CONTINUOUS MARKOV CHAINMODEL

The changes in accounting reporting regulations have led to changes in the calculation of insurance liabilities related to both incurred and unreported claims. The calculation of insurance reserves is heavily influenced by the component of the probability that causes individuals to exit the insur...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Pramadia, Nicholas
Format: Final Project
Language:Indonesia
Online Access:https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/81628
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Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung
Language: Indonesia
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Summary:The changes in accounting reporting regulations have led to changes in the calculation of insurance liabilities related to both incurred and unreported claims. The calculation of insurance reserves is heavily influenced by the component of the probability that causes individuals to exit the insurance contract. In this final project, two causes of individuals leaving the insurance observation are used, namely death and resignation. The need for the right mortality table to obtain the probability of death underlies the entire calculation of insurance liabilities. Therefore, the Lee-Carter mortality model is used to obtain the relevant mortality probabilities in the current conditions. In this study, the probabilities of death and resignation will be calculated using a continuous Markov chain to anticipate the need for non-annual accounting reporting times that cannot be provided in the mortality table. The value of insurance liabilities will be obtained based on simulation results varying the differences in mortality probabilities and the nominal interest rates used.