EXPLORING RISK FACTORS OF THE DEPENDENCY ON IMPORT SUPPLY RAW MATERIAL MEDICINE: A DELPHI- AHP APPROACH AND SYSTEM MODELING IN INDONESIA PHARMACEUTICAL SUPPLY CHAIN

• Main Author: Krisnadi Yoseph, Gidion
• Format: Theses
• Language: Indonesia
• Online Access: https://digilib.itb.ac.id/gdl/view/87541
• Institution: Institut Teknologi Bandung

The pharmaceutical sector in Indonesia exhibits a pronounced dependence on China for its procurement of raw materials, with approximately 95% of these materials being imported. Such a dependence engenders a detrimental scenario, as any disruption in the supply of raw materials from China could have profound repercussions for Indonesia's pharmaceutical industry. Considering the critical necessity to maintain an uninterrupted supply of raw materials, Pharmaceutical Supply Chains (PSCs) encounter a myriad of risks attributable to their intricate frameworks. The existing body of literature is inadequately comprehensive concerning risk assessment within the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in developing nations such as Indonesia. This research endeavors to identify and evaluate these risks while proposing a decision analysis model that integrates the Delphi method with the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and System Modeling within the framework of Indonesia's PSCs. The Delphi technique will be utilized to scrutinize qualitative data obtained from expert interviews and literature reviews. The AHP will facilitate the risk assessment and prioritization of various risk factors. System modeling, through the application of causal loop diagrams, will serve to elucidate the interconnections among factors and pinpoint necessary interventions. Data will be gathered from a diverse array of stakeholders involved in the management of PSCs in Indonesia, including manufacturers, distributors, and policymakers. It is anticipated that the study will identify and scrutinize risks within Indonesia’s PSCs, thereby equipping stakeholders to undertake proactive measures in addressing risk factors.