MODEL AGE-PERIOD-COHORT UNTUK TABEL MORTALITAS DINAMIK
Dynamic life tables arise from the necessity to incorporate the effect of the year of death into the estimation of the measurement of mortality. The advance in statistical tables to capture the historical evolution of mortality encourages the need to improve the adjustment method of mortality pre...
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| 格式: | Theses and Dissertations NonPeerReviewed |
| 出版: |
[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
2015
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| 主題: | |
| 在線閱讀: | https://repository.ugm.ac.id/134547/ http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=77308 |
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| 總結: | Dynamic life tables arise from the necessity to incorporate the effect of the
year of death into the estimation of the measurement of mortality. The advance
in statistical tables to capture the historical evolution of mortality encourages the
need to improve the adjustment method of mortality prediction.
Age-period-cohort (APC) models is recommended for actuaries because it
have given good result in the field of epidemiology. These models constitute an
evolution of dynamic models as they incorporate the year of birth (cohort) into
models with age and period effects. This research used the models suggested by
Holford [1983] and Clayton dan Schifflers [1987] to adjust mortality in Spain and
study the effect of the cohort in this country. Then, the prediction of mortality rates
can be obtained from the estimation of APC models based on the three effects |
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