PERAMALAN JUMLAH PERMINTAAN AIR MINUM DALAM KEMASAN
Forecasting is very important in production to predict the number of demand in the future. Forecasting helps industrial organization maintaining inventory level and stock out rate. Bottled drinking water is a kind of functional product because it doesn�t has a lot of type of product and has long c...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Theses and Dissertations NonPeerReviewed |
| Published: |
[Yogyakarta] : Universitas Gadjah Mada
2011
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://repository.ugm.ac.id/88283/ http://etd.ugm.ac.id/index.php?mod=penelitian_detail&sub=PenelitianDetail&act=view&typ=html&buku_id=50499 |
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| Institution: | Universitas Gadjah Mada |
| Summary: | Forecasting is very important in production to predict the number of demand
in the future. Forecasting helps industrial organization maintaining inventory level
and stock out rate. Bottled drinking water is a kind of functional product because it
doesn�t has a lot of type of product and has long cycle period. Simplest forecasting
method such as Moving average and exponential smoothing are fit to be used to
forecast the number of demand in the future. Web-base demand forecasting
application is easy to be used because user doesn�t need to determine the number of
moving average and smoothing value. The application shows only the best method
which has smallest MAPE value.
Historical demand data of bottled drinking water collected since January 2003
until March 2011. Demand for the next 12 months predicted using web-base demand
forecasting application, start from April 2010 until March 2011. Demand forecasting
of gallon product is 13.688 gallon and the best method to forecast is single
exponential smoothing. Demand forecasting of bottle product for April 2010 |
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