The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study

The Lee-Carter model is a well-known model in modeling mortality. We aim to compare three probability models (Poisson, negative binomial and binomial) based on the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) framework of the Lee-Carter model. These models are applied to mortality data for 10 selected countries (...

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Main Authors: Azman, Shafiqah, Pathmanathan, Dharini
Format: Article
Published: Taylor & Francis 2022
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Online Access:http://eprints.um.edu.my/33863/
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spelling my.um.eprints.338632022-04-25T08:00:50Z http://eprints.um.edu.my/33863/ The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study Azman, Shafiqah Pathmanathan, Dharini QA Mathematics The Lee-Carter model is a well-known model in modeling mortality. We aim to compare three probability models (Poisson, negative binomial and binomial) based on the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) framework of the Lee-Carter model. These models are applied to mortality data for 10 selected countries (Japan, United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Sweden, Spain, Belgium, Canada, Netherlands and Bulgaria) and the fit of these models is assessed using the deviance statistics and standardized residuals against fitted value plot. Among these three models, the negative binomial Lee-Carter model gave the best fit based on the deviance statistics and estimates of the log of deaths. Taylor & Francis 2022-02-17 Article PeerReviewed Azman, Shafiqah and Pathmanathan, Dharini (2022) The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study. Journal of Applied Statistics, 49 (3). pp. 752-763. ISSN 0266-4763, DOI https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2020.1833183 <https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2020.1833183>. 10.1080/02664763.2020.1833183
institution Universiti Malaya
building UM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaya
content_source UM Research Repository
url_provider http://eprints.um.edu.my/
topic QA Mathematics
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Azman, Shafiqah
Pathmanathan, Dharini
The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study
description The Lee-Carter model is a well-known model in modeling mortality. We aim to compare three probability models (Poisson, negative binomial and binomial) based on the Generalized Linear Model (GLM) framework of the Lee-Carter model. These models are applied to mortality data for 10 selected countries (Japan, United States, United Kingdom, Australia, Sweden, Spain, Belgium, Canada, Netherlands and Bulgaria) and the fit of these models is assessed using the deviance statistics and standardized residuals against fitted value plot. Among these three models, the negative binomial Lee-Carter model gave the best fit based on the deviance statistics and estimates of the log of deaths.
format Article
author Azman, Shafiqah
Pathmanathan, Dharini
author_facet Azman, Shafiqah
Pathmanathan, Dharini
author_sort Azman, Shafiqah
title The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study
title_short The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study
title_full The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study
title_fullStr The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study
title_full_unstemmed The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: A multi-country study
title_sort glm framework of the lee-carter model: a multi-country study
publisher Taylor & Francis
publishDate 2022
url http://eprints.um.edu.my/33863/
_version_ 1735409601085440000