Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia

1st Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM-I) 2010 organized by Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) and co-organized by Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) & Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 2nd - 3rd June 2010 at Eastern & Oriental Hotel, Penang.

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Main Authors:	Faridah, Basaruddin, Mahendran, Shitan, Rosnah, Mohd Yusoff, Izham, Zainal Abidin, Norman, Mariun
Format:	Working Paper
Language:	English
Published:	Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) 2010
Subjects:	Regional load forecasting ARIMA model Meteorological stations Historical data Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM)
Online Access:	http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/xmlui/handle/123456789/10327
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Institution:	Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Language:	English

id	my.unimap-10327
record_format	dspace
spelling	my.unimap-103272010-11-26T09:22:14Z Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia Faridah, Basaruddin Mahendran, Shitan Rosnah, Mohd Yusoff Izham, Zainal Abidin Norman, Mariun Regional load forecasting ARIMA model Meteorological stations Historical data Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM) 1st Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM-I) 2010 organized by Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) and co-organized by Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) & Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 2nd - 3rd June 2010 at Eastern & Oriental Hotel, Penang. Short term regional load forecasting plays an important role in ensuring adequate load supply, preventing shortage and excessive storage of electricity that in turn would add cost to the utility company. Demographic and weather factors do contribute toward the load consumption at the different areas under a particular demographic region. Temperature, the most outstanding weather element has been shown to have great effect on load forecasting. In this study, time series model, ARIMA is applied on the historical load data at two selected meteorological stations, Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu. The selection of the appropriate model for the two data sets were based on the smallest value of AICC statistic. The AICC for Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu stations are 849.253 and 781.335 respectively. The forecasting errors for prediction of the next three hours peak load at the two stations are summarized in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The RMSE for Kuantan and Terengganu stations are 0.9 and 0.5 respectively while MAPE are 4.7% and 7.05% respectively. The correlation between temperature and peak load consumption at the chosen stations are analyzed by using simple regression. The results show that there is a positive correlation between peak load and temperature. 2010-11-26T09:22:14Z 2010-11-26T09:22:14Z 2010-06-02 Working Paper Vol.4(5), p.381-385 http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/10327 en Proceedings of the 1st Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM-I) 2010 Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) Institut Matematik Kejuruteraan
institution	Universiti Malaysia Perlis
building	UniMAP Library
collection	Institutional Repository
continent	Asia
country	Malaysia
content_provider	Universiti Malaysia Perlis
content_source	UniMAP Library Digital Repository
url_provider	http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/
language	English
topic	Regional load forecasting ARIMA model Meteorological stations Historical data Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM)
spellingShingle	Regional load forecasting ARIMA model Meteorological stations Historical data Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM) Faridah, Basaruddin Mahendran, Shitan Rosnah, Mohd Yusoff Izham, Zainal Abidin Norman, Mariun Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia
description	1st Regional Conference on Applied and Engineering Mathematics (RCAEM-I) 2010 organized by Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) and co-organized by Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) & Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (UKM), 2nd - 3rd June 2010 at Eastern & Oriental Hotel, Penang.
format	Working Paper
author	Faridah, Basaruddin Mahendran, Shitan Rosnah, Mohd Yusoff Izham, Zainal Abidin Norman, Mariun
author_facet	Faridah, Basaruddin Mahendran, Shitan Rosnah, Mohd Yusoff Izham, Zainal Abidin Norman, Mariun
author_sort	Faridah, Basaruddin
title	Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia
title_short	Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia
title_full	Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia
title_fullStr	Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed	Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia
title_sort	load forecasting at kuantan and kuala terengganu in malaysia
publisher	Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP)
publishDate	2010
url	http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/xmlui/handle/123456789/10327
_version_	1643789811398475776

Load forecasting at Kuantan and Kuala Terengganu in Malaysia

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