What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets?
This study investigates the role of currency order flow in explaining the emerging Asian markets' exchange rates relying on linear and nonlinear modeling. The daily currency order flow of the US dollar relative to the nine important Asian currencies is constituted and explored with the respecti...
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2020
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my.unimas.ir.333782023-06-19T04:00:57Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/33378/ What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? Muhammad, Aftab Anifowose, Abolaji Daniel Evan, Lau Izlin, Ismail HB Economic Theory This study investigates the role of currency order flow in explaining the emerging Asian markets' exchange rates relying on linear and nonlinear modeling. The daily currency order flow of the US dollar relative to the nine important Asian currencies is constituted and explored with the respective exchange rates. First, we find that order flow affects the spot exchange rate positively for the sampled Asian currencies which indicates that the buying pressure of the US dollar depreciates Asian currencies. Second, the effect of order flow is asymmetric which explains that a surge and a fall in order flow have different effects on the exchange rate. This study unlocks the contribution of the market microstructure research where the asymmetries improve the power to explicate exchange rates. The nonlinear model forecasting performance validates this stance. Science Direct 2020-11-26 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/33378/1/What%20does%20currency%20order%20flow%20tell%20about%20spot%20exchange%20rates%20of%20Asian%20emerging%20markets.pdf Muhammad, Aftab and Anifowose, Abolaji Daniel and Evan, Lau and Izlin, Ismail (2020) What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? Borsa Istanbul Review. ISSN 2214-8450 (In Press) https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/borsa-istanbul-review/about/aims-and-scope 10.1016/j.bir.2020.11.003 |
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HB Economic Theory Muhammad, Aftab Anifowose, Abolaji Daniel Evan, Lau Izlin, Ismail What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? |
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This study investigates the role of currency order flow in explaining the emerging Asian markets' exchange rates relying on linear and nonlinear modeling. The daily currency order flow of the US dollar relative to the nine important Asian currencies is constituted and explored with the respective exchange rates. First, we find that order flow affects the spot exchange rate positively for the sampled Asian currencies which indicates that the buying pressure of the US dollar depreciates Asian currencies. Second, the effect of order flow is asymmetric which explains that a surge and a fall in order flow have different effects on the exchange rate. This study unlocks the contribution of the market microstructure research where the asymmetries improve the power to explicate exchange rates. The nonlinear model forecasting performance validates this stance. |
format |
Article |
author |
Muhammad, Aftab Anifowose, Abolaji Daniel Evan, Lau Izlin, Ismail |
author_facet |
Muhammad, Aftab Anifowose, Abolaji Daniel Evan, Lau Izlin, Ismail |
author_sort |
Muhammad, Aftab |
title |
What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? |
title_short |
What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? |
title_full |
What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? |
title_fullStr |
What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? |
title_full_unstemmed |
What does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of Asian emerging markets? |
title_sort |
what does currency order flow tell about spot exchange rates of asian emerging markets? |
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Science Direct |
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2020 |
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http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/33378/1/What%20does%20currency%20order%20flow%20tell%20about%20spot%20exchange%20rates%20of%20Asian%20emerging%20markets.pdf http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/33378/ https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/borsa-istanbul-review/about/aims-and-scope |
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