Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area

Crops; Cultivation; Decision trees; Errors; Forecasting; Groundwater resources; Learning algorithms; Mean square error; Statistical tests; Support vector machines; Absolute error; Bangladesh; Correlation coefficient; Ground water level; Groundwater prediction; Locally weighted linear regression; Mea...

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Main Authors:	Pham Q.B., Kumar M., Di Nunno F., Elbeltagi A., Granata F., Islam A.R.M.T., Talukdar S., Nguyen X.C., Ahmed A.N., Anh D.T.
Other Authors:	57208495034
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Published:	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH 2023
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Institution:	Universiti Tenaga Nasional

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spelling	my.uniten.dspace-268452023-05-29T17:37:10Z Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area Pham Q.B. Kumar M. Di Nunno F. Elbeltagi A. Granata F. Islam A.R.M.T. Talukdar S. Nguyen X.C. Ahmed A.N. Anh D.T. 57208495034 57211647641 57205552003 57204724397 36801761600 57218543677 57194545588 57213267707 57214837520 57210116833 Crops; Cultivation; Decision trees; Errors; Forecasting; Groundwater resources; Learning algorithms; Mean square error; Statistical tests; Support vector machines; Absolute error; Bangladesh; Correlation coefficient; Ground water level; Groundwater prediction; Locally weighted linear regression; Mean absolute error; Random tree; Root mean square errors; Squared errors; Groundwater Groundwater resources (GWR) play a crucial role in agricultural crop production, daily life, and economic progress. Therefore, accurate prediction of groundwater (GW) level will aid in the sustainable management of GWR. A comparative study was conducted to evaluate the performance of seven different ML models, such as random tree (RT), random forest (RF), decision stump, M5P, support vector machine (SVM), locally weighted linear regression (LWLR), and reduce error pruning tree (REP Tree) for GW level (GWL) prediction. The long-term prediction was conducted�using historical GWL, mean temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity datasets for the period 1981�2017 obtained from two wells in the northwestern region of Bangladesh. The whole dataset was divided into training (1981�2008) and testing (2008�2017) datasets. The output of the seven proposed models was evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative squared error (RRSE), correlation coefficient (CC), and Taylor diagram. The results revealed that the Bagging-RT and Bagging-RF models outperformed other ML models. The Bagging-RT models can effectively improve prediction precision as compared to other models with RMSE of 0.60�m, MAE of 0.45�m, RAE of 27.47%, RRSE of 30.79%, and CC of 0.96 for Rajshahi and RMSE of 0.26�m, MAE of 0.18�m, RAE of 19.87%, RRSE of 24.17%, and 0.97 for Rangpur during training, and RMSE of 0.60�m, MAE of 0.40�m, RAE of 24.25%, RRSE of 29.99%, and CC of 0.96 for Rajshahi and RMSE of 0.38�m, MAE of 0.24�m, RAE of 23.55%, RRSE of 31.77%, and CC of 0.95 for Rangpur during testing stages, respectively. Our study offers an effective and practical approach to the forecast of GWL that could help to formulate policies for sustainable GWR management. � 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag London Ltd., part of Springer Nature. Final 2023-05-29T09:37:10Z 2023-05-29T09:37:10Z 2022 Article 10.1007/s00521-022-07009-7 2-s2.0-85125521244 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85125521244&doi=10.1007%2fs00521-022-07009-7&partnerID=40&md5=4eee868d19776c11d068a70cb124a0dd https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/26845 34 13 10751 10773 Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH Scopus
institution	Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building	UNITEN Library
collection	Institutional Repository
continent	Asia
country	Malaysia
content_provider	Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source	UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider	http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
description	Crops; Cultivation; Decision trees; Errors; Forecasting; Groundwater resources; Learning algorithms; Mean square error; Statistical tests; Support vector machines; Absolute error; Bangladesh; Correlation coefficient; Ground water level; Groundwater prediction; Locally weighted linear regression; Mean absolute error; Random tree; Root mean square errors; Squared errors; Groundwater
author2	57208495034
author_facet	57208495034 Pham Q.B. Kumar M. Di Nunno F. Elbeltagi A. Granata F. Islam A.R.M.T. Talukdar S. Nguyen X.C. Ahmed A.N. Anh D.T.
format	Article
author	Pham Q.B. Kumar M. Di Nunno F. Elbeltagi A. Granata F. Islam A.R.M.T. Talukdar S. Nguyen X.C. Ahmed A.N. Anh D.T.
spellingShingle	Pham Q.B. Kumar M. Di Nunno F. Elbeltagi A. Granata F. Islam A.R.M.T. Talukdar S. Nguyen X.C. Ahmed A.N. Anh D.T. Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
author_sort	Pham Q.B.
title	Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
title_short	Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
title_full	Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
title_fullStr	Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
title_full_unstemmed	Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
title_sort	groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area
publisher	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
publishDate	2023
_version_	1806428369708908544

Groundwater level prediction using machine learning algorithms in a drought-prone area

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