Optimizing wavelet neural networks using modified cuckoo search for multi-step ahead chaotic time series prediction

• Main Authors: Ong, Pauline, Zainuddin, Zarita
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Elsevier 2019
• Subjects: QA273-280 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
• Online Access: http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/4606/1/AJ%202019%20%28290%29.pdf; http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/4606/; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2019.04.016
• Institution: Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia

Determining the optimal number of hidden nodes and their proper initial locations are essentially crucial before the wavelet neural networks (WNNs) start their learning process. In this paper, a novel strategy known as the modified cuckoo search algorithm (MCSA), is proposed for WNNs initialization in order to improve its generalization performance. The MCSA begins with an initial population of cuckoo eggs, which represent the translation vectors of the wavelet hidden nodes, and subsequently refines their locations by imitating the breeding mechanism of cuckoos. The resulting solutions from the MCSA are then used as the initial translation vectors for the WNNs. The feasibility of the proposed method is evaluated by forecasting a benchmark chaotic time series, and its superior prediction accuracy compared with that of conventional WNNs demonstrates its potential benefit.