Control strategies of avian influenza pandemic model with time delay

• Main Authors: Roman, U., Gul, Z., Saeed, I., Hakeem, U., Shafie, S.
• Format: Article
• Published: World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte Ltd 2017
• Subjects: QA Mathematics
• Online Access: http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/81119/; http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S1793524517501042
• Institution: Universiti Teknologi Malaysia

A mathematical model for avian influenza with optimal control strategies is presented as a system of discrete time delay differential equations (DDEs) and its important mathematical features are analyzed. In alignment to manage this, we develop an optimally controlled pandemic model of avian influenza and insert a time delay with exponential factor. Then we apply two controlled functions in the form of biosecurity of poultry and the education campaign against avian influenza to control the disperse of the disease. Our optimal control strategies will minimize the number of contaminated humans and contaminated birds. We also derive the basic reproduction number to examine the dynamical behavior of the model and demonstrate the existence of the controlled system. For the justification of our work, we present numerical simulations.