System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan

Malaysian employees' public pension plan was studied to analyze pension expenditure due to salary risk and demographic risk.By integrating risk management and System Dynamics (SD) approach, the risk factors involved were identified, a causal loop diagram was constructed, and the SD model was de...

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Main Authors: Sapiri, Hasimah, Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah, Mat Tahar, Razman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Scientific Publishing Company 2014
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Online Access:http://repo.uum.edu.my/19410/1/TSER%2059%205%202014%201-24.pdf
http://repo.uum.edu.my/19410/
http://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590814500465
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Institution: Universiti Utara Malaysia
Language: English
id my.uum.repo.19410
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spelling my.uum.repo.194102016-11-14T04:34:28Z http://repo.uum.edu.my/19410/ System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan Sapiri, Hasimah Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah Mat Tahar, Razman QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science Malaysian employees' public pension plan was studied to analyze pension expenditure due to salary risk and demographic risk.By integrating risk management and System Dynamics (SD) approach, the risk factors involved were identified, a causal loop diagram was constructed, and the SD model was developed.By using a sample of actual data, the proposed model was then validated through behavior validity test and a risk analysis was conducted.Then, risk monitoring was performed through policy evaluation in which the impact of different policy scenarios on pension expenditure was analyzed.Risk management and dynamics simulation approach in analyzing pension expenditure were shown to be useful in evaluating the impact of changes and policy decisions on risk. World Scientific Publishing Company 2014 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://repo.uum.edu.my/19410/1/TSER%2059%205%202014%201-24.pdf Sapiri, Hasimah and Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah and Mat Tahar, Razman (2014) System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan. The Singapore Economic Review, 59 (05). 1450046 1-1450046 24. ISSN 0217-5908 http://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590814500465 doi:10.1142/S0217590814500465
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
building UUM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Utara Malaysia
content_source UUM Institutionali Repository
url_provider http://repo.uum.edu.my/
language English
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Sapiri, Hasimah
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah
Mat Tahar, Razman
System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan
description Malaysian employees' public pension plan was studied to analyze pension expenditure due to salary risk and demographic risk.By integrating risk management and System Dynamics (SD) approach, the risk factors involved were identified, a causal loop diagram was constructed, and the SD model was developed.By using a sample of actual data, the proposed model was then validated through behavior validity test and a risk analysis was conducted.Then, risk monitoring was performed through policy evaluation in which the impact of different policy scenarios on pension expenditure was analyzed.Risk management and dynamics simulation approach in analyzing pension expenditure were shown to be useful in evaluating the impact of changes and policy decisions on risk.
format Article
author Sapiri, Hasimah
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah
Mat Tahar, Razman
author_facet Sapiri, Hasimah
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah
Mat Tahar, Razman
author_sort Sapiri, Hasimah
title System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan
title_short System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan
title_full System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan
title_fullStr System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan
title_full_unstemmed System dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: The case on Malaysian employees public pension plan
title_sort system dynamics approach as a risk management tool in analyzing pension expenditure: the case on malaysian employees public pension plan
publisher World Scientific Publishing Company
publishDate 2014
url http://repo.uum.edu.my/19410/1/TSER%2059%205%202014%201-24.pdf
http://repo.uum.edu.my/19410/
http://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590814500465
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