Describing basketball scores using probability distributions

• Main Authors: Martinez, Maria Antonella M., Montilla, Ruby Angela
• Format: text
• Language: English
• Published: Animo Repository 2002
• Online Access: https://animorepository.dlsu.edu.ph/etd_bachelors/17239
• Institution: De La Salle University

This thesis presents a study on the 1997-2001 Philippine Basketball Association scores. Each of the scores can be presented by its ending and point spread. This paper aims to formulate a gambling strategy for betting in ending using the given data as a model. With the aid of software, distributions will be fitted on the 1997-2001 data and will be interpreted. Results showed that the endings of the 1997-2001 PBA scores are uniformly distributed. For the point spread, an empirical distribution based on the relative frequencies of the point spread of the 1997-2001 PBA scores were devised, since it was proven that the data can be used as a model to predict future outcomes. Using ending and the concept of maturity of chances, the endings (4,5), (5,1) and (7, 8) are deemed favorable. On the other hand, based on point spread and the concept of immaturity of chances, the endings corresponding to a point spread of 6 are deemed favorable. These endings are: (0,4), (1, 5), (2, 6), (3, 7), (4, 8), (5, 9), (6,0), (7, 1), (8, 2) and (9, 3).