An empirical investigation of the causal relationship among monetary variables with equity market returns in the Philippine setting

This study explores the long-term dynamic relationship between equity market returns and monetary variables from an observable period of ten years (1999-2008) in the Philippines. Monetary variables include money supply as measured by M1 money, treasury bill rates as a proxy for interest rates, forei...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cheong, Oliver, Cancio, Julio Ricardo, Cobankiat, Charmaine, Galang, Candice
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Animo Repository 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:https://animorepository.dlsu.edu.ph/etd_bachelors/18524
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Institution: De La Salle University
Language: English
Description
Summary:This study explores the long-term dynamic relationship between equity market returns and monetary variables from an observable period of ten years (1999-2008) in the Philippines. Monetary variables include money supply as measured by M1 money, treasury bill rates as a proxy for interest rates, foreign exchange rates and the inflation rate. The sample base to check the causality will be the thirty firms of the Philippine Stock Exchange index. The data has been examined using Granger causality analysis. Finally, based on the resulting causality test, further analysis and a predictive model will be created to explore the practical application of the subject matter.