Interest rate term structure dynamics using PCA and GARCH models with application to the Philippine government curve

The Basle II Accord motivates a study of permissible internal models which can potentially decrease risk capital requirements. A PCA-GARCH interest rate risk model is considered. PCA is introduced to reduce dimensionality in the Philippine Government Curve. Volatility dynamics are modeled using diff...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Pasamonte, Joseph Norman D.
التنسيق: text
منشور في: Animo Repository 2005
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://animorepository.dlsu.edu.ph/etd_doctoral/100
الوسوم: إضافة وسم
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المؤسسة: De La Salle University
الوصف
الملخص:The Basle II Accord motivates a study of permissible internal models which can potentially decrease risk capital requirements. A PCA-GARCH interest rate risk model is considered. PCA is introduced to reduce dimensionality in the Philippine Government Curve. Volatility dynamics are modeled using different GARCH extensions. Finally, the selected PCA-GARCH model is tested under the Basle framework for market risk, using a representative fixed-income portfolio. Research findings show that a PCA-GARCH specified model can adequately capture the volatility dynamics in term structure of Philippine interest rates using two principal components and shows significant potential as an internal model for Value-at-Risk and Market Risk Capital under the Basle standard.