Modelling the economic impact and ripple effects of disease outbreaks

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has had alarming effects on human lives and the economies of affected countries. With the world’s manufacturing hubs experiencing a period of extended factory closures, the economic impact transcends territorial borders via global supply chains. This...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yu, Krista Danielle S., Aviso, Kathleen B.
Format: text
Published: Animo Repository 2020
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Online Access:https://animorepository.dlsu.edu.ph/faculty_research/2642
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Institution: De La Salle University
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Summary:The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has had alarming effects on human lives and the economies of affected countries. With the world’s manufacturing hubs experiencing a period of extended factory closures, the economic impact transcends territorial borders via global supply chains. This paper provides a roadmap on how to evaluate the vulnerability that cascades through the supply chain due to a disease outbreak at the firm level, national level, and global scale. The final extent of losses is not yet known, but the development of economic models combined with epidemiological models and network analysis techniques can yield more realistic estimates to select appropriate strategies in a timely manner. © 2020, Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.