Role of intelligence in international crisis management
This Working Paper reviews conventional thinking about the contribution of strategic intelligence to early warning of diplomatic crisis and its escalation and resolution. The paper argues that in an increasingly complex and interdependent world driven by forces of globalization...
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2013
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/104273 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/9381 |
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| Institution: | Nanyang Technological University |
| Language: | English |
| Summary: | This Working Paper reviews conventional thinking about the contribution of strategic
intelligence to early warning of diplomatic crisis and its escalation and resolution.
The paper argues that in an increasingly complex and interdependent world driven by
forces of globalization strategic intelligence may not be able to provide policy makers
the foresight of crisis and its possible outcomes. Instead, strategic intelligence can
perhaps help the policy maker to make sense of an increasingly chaotic, uncertain and
unpredictable situation and grasp the complexity of a spectrum of possible outcomes. |
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