Addressing the epistemic uncertainty in maritime accidents modelling using Bayesian network with interval probabilities

• Main Authors: Zhang, Guizhen, Thai, Vinh V., Yuen, Kum Fai, Loh, Hui Shan, Zhou, Qingji
• Other Authors: School of Civil and Environmental Engineering
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2019
• Subjects: Bayesian Network; Interval Probabilities; DRNTU::Engineering::Civil engineering
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/105418; http://hdl.handle.net/10220/48704
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

Bayesian Network (BN) is often criticized for demanding a large number of crisp/exact/precise conditional probability numbers which, due to the lack of statistics, have to be obtained through experts’ judgment. These exact probability numbers provided by the experts often carry a high level of epist...