Financial crises and regime-dependent dynamics

Generalized with the regime-dependent beliefs and regime-switching dynamics, the simple market-maker framework established by Day and Huang (1990) is capable to model all types of crises, that is, sudden crisis, disturbing crisis and smooth crisis, and to offer economic and dynamic justifications on...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Huang, Weihong, Zheng, Huanhuan
Other Authors: School of Humanities and Social Sciences
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/107436
http://hdl.handle.net/10220/17151
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2012.02.008
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Institution: Nanyang Technological University
Language: English
Description
Summary:Generalized with the regime-dependent beliefs and regime-switching dynamics, the simple market-maker framework established by Day and Huang (1990) is capable to model all types of crises, that is, sudden crisis, disturbing crisis and smooth crisis, and to offer economic and dynamic justifications on how and why these crises appear. Moreover, the model simulations verify the salient qualitative and statistical properties commonly observed in the real financial data such as fat tails, volatility clustering, long range dependence, leverage effect and other stylized facts. Additionally, the model replicates the various chart patterns widely applied in the technical analysis.