Urban electric load forecasting with mobile phone location data

In recent years, electrical load forecasting has received continuous research efforts aiming to improve the short-term prediction accuracy of local energy demands. However, current methods are not able to take explicitly into account the dynamic spatial population distribution over the course of a d...

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Main Authors: Selvarajoo, Stefan, Schläpfer, Markus, Tan, Rui
其他作者: School of Computer Science and Engineering
格式: Conference or Workshop Item
語言:English
出版: 2020
主題:
在線閱讀:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/145170
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機構: Nanyang Technological University
語言: English
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總結:In recent years, electrical load forecasting has received continuous research efforts aiming to improve the short-term prediction accuracy of local energy demands. However, current methods are not able to take explicitly into account the dynamic spatial population distribution over the course of a day, which is particularly relevant in dense urban areas. In this paper, we harness society-wide mobile phone data to map the time-varying population distribution in the Trentino region, Italy, and to use these insights for a novel electrical load forecasting method. Our results demonstrate that the integration of aggregated mobile phone data yields compelling forecast models.