Urban electric load forecasting with mobile phone location data

In recent years, electrical load forecasting has received continuous research efforts aiming to improve the short-term prediction accuracy of local energy demands. However, current methods are not able to take explicitly into account the dynamic spatial population distribution over the course of a d...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Selvarajoo, Stefan, Schläpfer, Markus, Tan, Rui
Other Authors: School of Computer Science and Engineering
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: 2020
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/145170
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Institution: Nanyang Technological University
Language: English
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Summary:In recent years, electrical load forecasting has received continuous research efforts aiming to improve the short-term prediction accuracy of local energy demands. However, current methods are not able to take explicitly into account the dynamic spatial population distribution over the course of a day, which is particularly relevant in dense urban areas. In this paper, we harness society-wide mobile phone data to map the time-varying population distribution in the Trentino region, Italy, and to use these insights for a novel electrical load forecasting method. Our results demonstrate that the integration of aggregated mobile phone data yields compelling forecast models.