Modeling downward counterfactual events : unrealized disasters and why they matter

• Main Authors: Lin, Yolanda C., Jenkins, Susanna F., Chow, Jun Rui, Biass, Sébastien, Woo, Gordon, Lallemant, David
• Other Authors: Asian School of the Environment
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2020
• Subjects: Science::Geology; Risk Framework; Sensitivity Analysis
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/145497
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

Disaster risk research’s reliance on past events has proved inadequate when it comes to extreme events. This shortcoming stems from limited records (for example, due to the vast differences in timescales between geological processes and human records) and the dynamic nature of all three components o...