ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific

Despite the divergence in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries’ initial responses to AUKUS, 1 year after the pronouncement of the tripartite security pact, ASEAN as a collective entity has already cautiously accepted AUKUS as a new reality. Regional states’ responses to AUKUS hav...

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Main Author: Li, Mingjiang
Other Authors: S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2023
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Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10356/170421
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Institution: Nanyang Technological University
Language: English
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spelling sg-ntu-dr.10356-1704212023-09-12T01:41:15Z ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific Li, Mingjiang S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies Social sciences::Political science Indo-Pacifc Security US–China Strategic Rivalry Despite the divergence in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries’ initial responses to AUKUS, 1 year after the pronouncement of the tripartite security pact, ASEAN as a collective entity has already cautiously accepted AUKUS as a new reality. Regional states’ responses to AUKUS have been shaped by their concerns about the challenges to ASEAN centrality, possible negative impacts on regional stability, and their strategic approaches to relations with both the United States and China. As many policymakers and analysts have feared, it is indeed likely that AUKUS may spark a regional arms race in certain areas and on a limited scale and bring more challenges for regional stability. At the same time, there are also uncertainties regarding the implementation of AUKUS, which raise doubts about the balance of power and deterrence effects that this new security arrangement may be able to achieve. In the long run, more regional powers, including middle powers and smaller states, may gradually gravitate toward AUKUS in the form of partnership or ad hoc issue-based cooperation. In this sense, it is quite possible that AUKUS may provide a new and perhaps flexible mode of strategic realignment in the Indo-Pacific region. Amid growing US–China strategic rivalry, the strategic landscape in Indo-Pacific may become even more divisive and competitive. 2023-09-12T01:41:15Z 2023-09-12T01:41:15Z 2022 Journal Article Li, M. (2022). ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific. China International Strategy Review, 4(2), 268-287. https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s42533-022-00121-2 2524-5627 https://hdl.handle.net/10356/170421 10.1007/s42533-022-00121-2 2-s2.0-85142778709 2 4 268 287 en China International Strategy Review © 2022 The Institute of International and Strategic Studies (IISS), Peking University. All rights reserved.
institution Nanyang Technological University
building NTU Library
continent Asia
country Singapore
Singapore
content_provider NTU Library
collection DR-NTU
language English
topic Social sciences::Political science
Indo-Pacifc Security
US–China Strategic Rivalry
spellingShingle Social sciences::Political science
Indo-Pacifc Security
US–China Strategic Rivalry
Li, Mingjiang
ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific
description Despite the divergence in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries’ initial responses to AUKUS, 1 year after the pronouncement of the tripartite security pact, ASEAN as a collective entity has already cautiously accepted AUKUS as a new reality. Regional states’ responses to AUKUS have been shaped by their concerns about the challenges to ASEAN centrality, possible negative impacts on regional stability, and their strategic approaches to relations with both the United States and China. As many policymakers and analysts have feared, it is indeed likely that AUKUS may spark a regional arms race in certain areas and on a limited scale and bring more challenges for regional stability. At the same time, there are also uncertainties regarding the implementation of AUKUS, which raise doubts about the balance of power and deterrence effects that this new security arrangement may be able to achieve. In the long run, more regional powers, including middle powers and smaller states, may gradually gravitate toward AUKUS in the form of partnership or ad hoc issue-based cooperation. In this sense, it is quite possible that AUKUS may provide a new and perhaps flexible mode of strategic realignment in the Indo-Pacific region. Amid growing US–China strategic rivalry, the strategic landscape in Indo-Pacific may become even more divisive and competitive.
author2 S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
author_facet S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies
Li, Mingjiang
format Article
author Li, Mingjiang
author_sort Li, Mingjiang
title ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific
title_short ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific
title_full ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific
title_fullStr ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific
title_full_unstemmed ASEAN’s responses to AUKUS: implications for strategic realignments in the Indo-Pacific
title_sort asean’s responses to aukus: implications for strategic realignments in the indo-pacific
publishDate 2023
url https://hdl.handle.net/10356/170421
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