A convergence predictor model for consensus-based decentralised energy markets
This paper introduces a convergence prediction model (CPM) for decentralized market clearing mechanisms. The CPM serves as a tool to detect potential cyber-attacks that affect the convergence of the consensus mechanism during ongoing market clearing operations. In this study, we propose a success...
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Main Authors: | , , , |
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Other Authors: | |
Format: | Conference or Workshop Item |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2024
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/178568 |
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Institution: | Nanyang Technological University |
Language: | English |
Summary: | This paper introduces a convergence prediction model (CPM) for
decentralized market clearing mechanisms. The CPM serves as a
tool to detect potential cyber-attacks that affect the convergence of
the consensus mechanism during ongoing market clearing operations. In this study, we propose a successively elongating Bayesian
logistic regression approach to model the probability of convergence of real-time market mechanisms. The CPM utilizes net-power
balance among all the prosumers/market participants as a feature
for convergence prediction, enabling a low-dimensional model to
operate efficiently for all the prosumers concurrently. The results
highlight that the proposed CPM has achieved a net false rate of
less than 0.01% for a stressed dataset. |
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