Investment in China : reform and policy

This thesis studies investment activity in China during the post-reform period. The focus is on the determination of investment with a view to identifying its specific financing sources, mechanism, and links with monetary and fiscal policies. The analysis is mainly based on a modified version of the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bai, Wenyang
Other Authors: Nanyang Business School
Format: Theses and Dissertations
Language:English
Published: 2011
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/42617
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Institution: Nanyang Technological University
Language: English
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Summary:This thesis studies investment activity in China during the post-reform period. The focus is on the determination of investment with a view to identifying its specific financing sources, mechanism, and links with monetary and fiscal policies. The analysis is mainly based on a modified version of the flexible accelerator theory of investment. Although our study is exploratory, some clear conclusions have emerged. Econometric evidence indicates that investment in China is positively related to economic growth, the availability of credit, and negatively related to cyclical factors and real interest rates. Meanwhile, the thesis also explores the implications of excessive expansion of investment for macroeconomic stability. Overinvestment, defined as actual investment minus predicted investment, is found to be crucial in determining the short-run output.