Ethnic-wise population forecast for Singapore using Lee Carter model for mortality, fertility and migration.

• Main Authors: Goh, Siu Wei., Low, Yik Hua., Ong, Min Sion.
• 其他作者: Uditha Balasooriya
• 格式: Final Year Project
• 語言: English
• 出版: 2011
• 主題: DRNTU::Business::Finance::Actuarial science
• 在線閱讀: http://hdl.handle.net/10356/43843
• 機構: Nanyang Technological University

In this study, we investigate Singapore population using the variant of Lee-Carter model proposed by Hyndman and Ullah. The mortality rates, fertility rates and net migration numbers which form the basis of the population are analysed. Coherent functional forecasting method is adopted to restrict th...