Processing sky images collected from sky camera
Fluctuating and intermittent irradiance interrupts the photovoltaic (PV) power generation. Massive PV grid-connection may bring about the stability problem to running of the power system. The forecast of output power of a PV plant can balance the dispatch of conventional energy (thermal power, hy...
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Format: | Theses and Dissertations |
Language: | English |
Published: |
2016
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10356/68736 |
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Institution: | Nanyang Technological University |
Language: | English |
Summary: | Fluctuating and intermittent irradiance interrupts the photovoltaic (PV) power
generation. Massive PV grid-connection may bring about the stability problem to
running of the power system. The forecast of output power of a PV plant can balance
the dispatch of conventional energy (thermal power, hydropower, etc.) and
photovoltaic power, and ensure the power supply quality. Irradiance, as the main
factor affects the output power of PV power generation. This will lead to the
fluctuation of the output power- due to its volatility and mutability, which brings huge
difficulty to the PV power prediction. The traditional forecasting method, which is
largely based on physical and statistical models, will bring about the lag to the
prediction results. Thus it is unable to provide accurate prediction results
continuously.
Relevant research results have indicated that the primary cause of the sudden change
of irradiance is the clouds’ coverage against the sunlight. The prediction of cloud
coverage above the solar panel can be achieved as follows: proceed with all-day
automatic observation and image acquisition by using ground-based remote sensing
cloud detection equipment, then using image processing technique to extract the
feature of the clouds’ future movement. The Total Sky Imager™ is designed to
capture the cloud coverage data. And a mechanism aiming at parameterization the
cloud image serves the purpose. Since the cloud images are captured far from the
ground-based camera, the resolution is low and the noisy points are inevitable. This
requires elaborate image processing techniques to eliminate the interference factors,
making the quantized irradiation and coverage data more valuable. |
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