“一带一路”倡议对新加坡经济的动力及阻力 = Economic stimulus and impetus to Singapore caused by the “Belt and Road” initiative

• Main Author: 肖彬 Xiao, Bin
• Other Authors: Fang Xiaoping
• Format: Final Year Project
• Language: Chinese
• Published: 2018
• Subjects: DRNTU::Humanities
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/10356/73446
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

“一带一路”倡议于 2015 年首次被提出后，引起了全球性的，尤其是沿线国家及亚洲国家的广泛的关注与讨论，有的支持、有的质疑、也有的持观望态度。新加坡作为亚细安（中国称“东盟”）的金融贸易中心，地理位置独特，与中国的历史渊源密切，另外中国在 2013 年更取代马来西亚，成为新加坡最大的交易伙伴，因此此倡议对新加坡的影响可谓毋庸置疑地意义重大。深入理解“一带一路”倡议不难发现其主要目标是中亚、东亚和欧洲各国，亚细安乃至新加坡与这些地区相比并非有着相同的重要性，甚至新加坡在“一带一路”的蓝图里的处境竟有些被“边缘化”的意味。我认为新加坡作为此倡议的积极参与者与支持者，必须在对“一带一路”倡议有着清晰认知的同时，深刻分析此倡议是否有利于新加坡；这些利益体现在何处；新加坡应如何准备来迎接这些改变。同时新加坡也不能忽略与利益随之而来的风险与挑战，它们会以什么形式出现；而新加坡又将如何应对。 总而言之，“一带一路”倡议对于新加坡的影响是机遇与风险并存、利益与弊害共享的。我希望通过这个报告分析新加坡在此倡议中能够获得的实际确切利益，同时预见新加坡有可能遇到的危机，确保新加坡在“一带一路”倡议中获得利益最大化，高枕无忧地搭乘这辆中国的经济顺风车。 The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), previously known as One Belt, One Road (OBOR) forms the centerpiece of the new Chinese ideology under President Xi Jinping. The BRI is a hallmark of China’s ascension into the world stage, politically, economically, strategically, as well as ideologically. China’s strategy on BRI is the re-emergence of the Eurasian continent as the world’s sphere of influence it once was, through infrastructure development of Central and West China, as well as increased inter-connectivity of the region through maritime trade. China will oversee the establishment of new financial institutions such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), the Silk Road Fund, and New Development Bank (NDB), which will serve to provide 240 billion (USD) of funds throughout the BRI construction process. The “Belt” refers to the “Silk Road Economic Belt” which runs across the Eurasian continent, connecting Southeast Asia and Europe through the vast Central Asia. The “Road” refers to the “21st Century Maritime Silk Road”, a complimentary initiative providing inter-connectivity between the South Pacific Ocean and Indian Ocean. The BRI consists of more than 68 countries, equivalent to 65% of the world’s population and 40% of the 2017 Global GDP, making it one of the most mammoth infrastructure and investment mega-projects in history. China-Singapore relation dates back to the late 1970s when China has just began its reforms under Deng Xiaoping. China and Singapore are key trading partners to each other today, with total trade volume amounting to 100 billion (USD). This paper seeks to explore the stimulus and impetus caused by the BRI to the Singapore economy.