Confident and optimistic forward-looking statements and the moderating influence of quantitative earnings forecasts
In this paper, I examine the impact of confident-plus-optimistic qualitative forward-looking statements on investors’ judgments. I find that investors’ valuation judgments are less favorable when investors see a confident-plus-optimistic qualitative forward-looking statement in the earnings press re...
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| Format: | Theses and Dissertations |
| Language: | English |
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Nanyang Technological University
2018
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10356/73868 |
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| Institution: | Nanyang Technological University |
| Language: | English |
| Summary: | In this paper, I examine the impact of confident-plus-optimistic qualitative forward-looking statements on investors’ judgments. I find that investors’ valuation judgments are less favorable when investors see a confident-plus-optimistic qualitative forward-looking statement in the earnings press release than when they see an optimistic-only qualitative forward-looking statement. I also find that the above-mentioned difference in judgments becomes smaller when managers bundle the earnings press release with a quantitative earnings forecast. Managers presumably use a confident-plus-optimistic qualitative forward-looking statement in order to elicit more favorable investor judgments. Nonetheless, by providing evidence of a less favorable reaction, my results indicate that investors end up reacting in a manner that deviates from how managers would ideally want investors to react. Overall, my results provide insights to managers, investors, regulators, and academic researchers. |
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