Commodity price prediction using neural networks

Commodities and its prices play a large role in the economic policies of countries whether they are exporters or importer. The ability to forecast commodity prices is then an important factor in decision making. The neural network is theorised to be able to trend non-linear and non-stationary time-s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Chen, Tianyou
Other Authors: Wang Lipo
Format: Final Year Project
Language:English
Published: 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10356/78064
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Institution: Nanyang Technological University
Language: English
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Summary:Commodities and its prices play a large role in the economic policies of countries whether they are exporters or importer. The ability to forecast commodity prices is then an important factor in decision making. The neural network is theorised to be able to trend non-linear and non-stationary time-series data. Hence, this paper will evaluate the use of novel neural networks proposed by other researchers. The primary neural network examined are the recurrent neural networks. The use of EEMD (Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition) in neural networks were found to be generally positive. This paper then proposes using deeper networks architectures to further improve the use of EEMD in neural networks.