Estimating the probability of dengue virus introduction and secondary autochthonous cases in Europe

• Main Authors: Massad, Eduardo, Amaku, Marcos, Coutinho, Francisco Antonio Bezerra, Struchiner, Claudio José, Burattini, Marcelo Nascimento, Khan, Kamran, Liu-Helmersson, Jing, Rocklöv, Joacim, Kraemer, Moritz U. G., Wilder-Smith, Annelies
• Other Authors: Lee Kong Chian School of Medicine (LKCMedicine)
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2018
• Subjects: Experimental Models Of Disease; Infectious Diseases
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/80798; http://hdl.handle.net/10220/45061
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

Given the speed of air travel, diseases even with a short viremia such as dengue can be easily exported to dengue naïve areas within 24 hours. We set out to estimate the risk of dengue virus introductions via travelers into Europe and number of secondary autochthonous cases as a result of the introd...