A modest 0.5-m rise in sea level will double the tsunami hazard in Macau
Rising sea levels will have overwhelmingly negative impacts on coastal communities globally. With previous research focused on how sea-level rise (SLR) affects storm-induced flooding, we show that SLR will also increase both the frequency and the intensity of tsunami-induced flooding, another signif...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| 其他作者: | |
| 格式: | Article |
| 語言: | English |
| 出版: |
2018
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| 主題: | |
| 在線閱讀: | https://hdl.handle.net/10356/89015 http://hdl.handle.net/10220/46034 |
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| 機構: | Nanyang Technological University |
| 語言: | English |
| 總結: | Rising sea levels will have overwhelmingly negative impacts on coastal communities globally. With previous research focused on how sea-level rise (SLR) affects storm-induced flooding, we show that SLR will also increase both the frequency and the intensity of tsunami-induced flooding, another significant coastal hazard associated with sea-level extremes. We developed probabilistic tsunami inundation maps for Macau, a densely populated coastal city located in the South China Sea, under current sea-level, 0.5-m SLR, and 1-m SLR conditions, using an extensive Monte Carlo tsunami inundation simulation. Our results indicate that conservative amounts of SLR of 0.5 m (by 2060) and 1 m (by 2100) would dramatically increase the frequency of tsunami-induced flooding incidences by a factor of 1.2 to 2.4 and 1.5 to 4.7, respectively. |
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