How one might miss early warning signals of critical transitions in time series data: A systematic study of two major currency pairs

• Main Authors: Wen, Haoyu, Cheong, Siew Ann, Pica Ciamarra, Massimo
• Other Authors: Hernandez-Lemus, Enrique
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: 2018
• Subjects: Early Warning Signals; Critical Transitions
• Online Access: https://hdl.handle.net/10356/89339; http://hdl.handle.net/10220/44869
• Institution: Nanyang Technological University

There is growing interest in the use of critical slowing down and critical fluctuations as early warning signals for critical transitions in different complex systems. However, while some studies found them effective, others found the opposite. In this paper, we investigated why this might be so, by...