Liquidity Variation and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Stock liquidity varies substantially over time. A significant decrease in liquidity is often followed by a sizable rebound, and vice versa. The month-to-month liquidity change predicts the cross-sectional stock returns in the following month. Caeteris paribus, a liquidity decrease predicts a low ret...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: FU, Fangjian
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/lkcsb_research/3267
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
Description
Summary:Stock liquidity varies substantially over time. A significant decrease in liquidity is often followed by a sizable rebound, and vice versa. The month-to-month liquidity change predicts the cross-sectional stock returns in the following month. Caeteris paribus, a liquidity decrease predicts a low return and a liquidity increase predicts a high return. The results are not explained by other cross-sectional return determinants including the liquidity level. The results are consistent with the mean-reverting nature of liquidity and its variation being priced. A liquidity reduction predicts an expected liquidity increase and thus a lower expected return, and vice versa. Our research suggests liquidity variation as an important factor of asset pricing. Its effect is independent from the widely documented liquidity level effect.