Variance risk premiums of commodity ETFs

We propose a model-independent method to account for the early exercise premiums in American options on non-dividend paying stocks. We find that our estimates of early exercise premium are generally larger than the estimates by existing methods. Given the American options on the Exchange-Traded Fund...

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محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلفون الرئيسيون: TEE, Chyng Wen, TING, Christopher H. A.
التنسيق: text
اللغة:English
منشور في: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2017
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/lkcsb_research/5020
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/lkcsb_research/article/6019/viewcontent/Variance_Risk_Premiums_of_Commodity_ETFs_pp.pdf
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المؤسسة: Singapore Management University
اللغة: English
الوصف
الملخص:We propose a model-independent method to account for the early exercise premiums in American options on non-dividend paying stocks. We find that our estimates of early exercise premium are generally larger than the estimates by existing methods. Given the American options on the Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) of gold, silver, natural gas, and crude oil, we find strong empirical evidence of variance risk premiums for these commodities, over a volatility term structure up to 18 months. Furthermore, we show that volatility indexes constructed by using existing methods tend to overestimate the risk-neutral variance, and consequently the magnitude of variance risk premium.