Machine learning using instruments for text selection: Predicting innovation performance

In machine learning we utilize the idea of employing instrumental variable such as patent records to train the texts. Patent records are highly correlated with R&D expenditures, but are not necessarily correlated with performance residuals not linked to R&D. Thus, using instrumental patent r...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: LIM, Kian Guan, LIM, Michelle S. J.
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2019
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Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/lkcsb_research/6988
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/lkcsb_research/article/7987/viewcontent/14_622_158107802237_40_pvoa.pdf
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
Description
Summary:In machine learning we utilize the idea of employing instrumental variable such as patent records to train the texts. Patent records are highly correlated with R&D expenditures, but are not necessarily correlated with performance residuals not linked to R&D. Thus, using instrumental patent records to train word counts of selected texts to serve as a proxy for firm R&D expenditure, we show that the texts and associated word counts provide effective prediction of firm innovation performances such as firm market value and total sales growth.