Machine learning using instruments for text selection: Predicting innovation performance
In machine learning we utilize the idea of employing instrumental variable such as patent records to train the texts. Patent records are highly correlated with R&D expenditures, but are not necessarily correlated with performance residuals not linked to R&D. Thus, using instrumental patent r...
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Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | text |
Language: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2019
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Online Access: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/lkcsb_research/6988 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/lkcsb_research/article/7987/viewcontent/14_622_158107802237_40_pvoa.pdf |
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Institution: | Singapore Management University |
Language: | English |
Summary: | In machine learning we utilize the idea of employing instrumental variable such as patent records to train the texts. Patent records are highly correlated with R&D expenditures, but are not necessarily correlated with performance residuals not linked to R&D. Thus, using instrumental patent records to train word counts of selected texts to serve as a proxy for firm R&D expenditure, we show that the texts and associated word counts provide effective prediction of firm innovation performances such as firm market value and total sales growth. |
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