PROBES: a framework for probability elicitation from experts.

• Main Authors: Lau, A.H., Tze-Yun LEONG
• Format: text
• Language: English
• Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 1999
• Subjects: Colorectal tumor; Computer program; Decision support system; Evaluation; Human; Probability; Recurrent disease; Numerical Analysis and Scientific Computing
• Online Access: https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/sis_research/3036
• Institution: Singapore Management University

A decision analytic model represents uncertainties as probability distributions. These distributions are hard to assess especially for large and dynamic models. We propose an integrated framework that facilitates elicitation of the relevant probability distributions for dynamic decision models from...