Estimating stranded coal assets in China's power sector

China has suffered overcapacity in coal power since 2016. With growing electricity demand and an economic crisis due to the Covid-19 pandemic, China faces a dilemma between easing restrictive policies for short-term growth in coal-fired power production and keeping restrictions in place for long-ter...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: ZHANG, Weirong, REN, Mengjia, KANG, Junjie, ZHOU, Yiou, YUAN, Jiahai
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 2022
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Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/sis_research/6963
https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/sis_research/article/7966/viewcontent/StrandedCoalAssets_av.pdf
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
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Summary:China has suffered overcapacity in coal power since 2016. With growing electricity demand and an economic crisis due to the Covid-19 pandemic, China faces a dilemma between easing restrictive policies for short-term growth in coal-fired power production and keeping restrictions in place for long-term sustainability. In this paper, we measure the risks faced by China's coal power units to become stranded in the next decade and estimate the associated economic costs for different shareholders. By implementing restrictive policies on coal power expansion, China can avoid 90% of stranded coal assets by 2025.