Geopolitics and ballpark estimates
Most economist commenced 2022 with 3 key assumptions on the global economy: 1) Some policy normalisation and reversal, though cautious and uneven, are likely to occur in economies with above-average growth and inflation; 2) The Covid-19 infection wave, while presumably asymmetric and recurrent acros...
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Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | text |
Language: | English |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
2022
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Online Access: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/skbi/17 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/skbi/article/1016/viewcontent/20220316_BT_Opinion_17_10x26_D.pdf |
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Institution: | Singapore Management University |
Language: | English |
Summary: | Most economist commenced 2022 with 3 key assumptions on the global economy:
1) Some policy normalisation and reversal, though cautious and uneven, are likely to occur in economies with above-average growth and inflation;
2) The Covid-19 infection wave, while presumably asymmetric and recurrent across countries, appears to have less of an imprint on cyclical activity on balance;
3) The lingering supply disruptions resulting from the pandemic, albeit still intense and widespread, should be easing gradually. |
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