The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts
We investigate how firms' use of derivatives impacts voluntary disclosure and offer four main findings. First, we find that when firms begin using derivative instruments, they increase the frequency of management earnings forecasts. Second, using path analysis, we find a direct link between der...
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2023
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sg-smu-ink.soa_research-30572024-01-22T15:17:32Z The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts CAMPBELL, John L. CAO, Sean Shun CHANG, Hye Sun CHIOREAN, Raluca We investigate how firms' use of derivatives impacts voluntary disclosure and offer four main findings. First, we find that when firms begin using derivative instruments, they increase the frequency of management earnings forecasts. Second, using path analysis, we find a direct link between derivative usage and forecast frequency, as well as an indirect link through reduced earnings volatility. Third, we find that CEOs with more pronounced career concerns increase forecast frequency only when derivatives make earnings easier to forecast and find no evidence that investor demand drives the decision to provide a forecast. These results suggest that the primary mechanism for the association between derivative usage and forecast frequency is a reduction in the manager's costs of providing the forecasts. Finally, we find that the majority of derivative-induced forecasts are uninformative to capital market participants, especially after FAS 161 provided the necessary underlying data to understand how firms use derivatives. Overall, we provide the first empirical evidence that firms that use derivatives issue more management forecasts, but we also find that these incremental forecasts are largely uninformative and appear driven by managerial career concerns. 2023-07-01T07:00:00Z text application/pdf https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soa_research/2030 info:doi/10.1111/1911-3846.12883 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soa_research/article/3057/viewcontent/Contemporary_Accting_Res___2023___Campbell___The_implications_of_firms_derivative_usage_on_the_frequency_and_usefulness_of.pdf http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ Research Collection School Of Accountancy eng Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University derivatives voluntary disclosure management earnings forecasts path analysis earnings volatility career concerns investor demand FAS 161 empirical evidence uninformative forecasts managerial career concerns Accounting |
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derivatives voluntary disclosure management earnings forecasts path analysis earnings volatility career concerns investor demand FAS 161 empirical evidence uninformative forecasts managerial career concerns Accounting CAMPBELL, John L. CAO, Sean Shun CHANG, Hye Sun CHIOREAN, Raluca The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
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We investigate how firms' use of derivatives impacts voluntary disclosure and offer four main findings. First, we find that when firms begin using derivative instruments, they increase the frequency of management earnings forecasts. Second, using path analysis, we find a direct link between derivative usage and forecast frequency, as well as an indirect link through reduced earnings volatility. Third, we find that CEOs with more pronounced career concerns increase forecast frequency only when derivatives make earnings easier to forecast and find no evidence that investor demand drives the decision to provide a forecast. These results suggest that the primary mechanism for the association between derivative usage and forecast frequency is a reduction in the manager's costs of providing the forecasts. Finally, we find that the majority of derivative-induced forecasts are uninformative to capital market participants, especially after FAS 161 provided the necessary underlying data to understand how firms use derivatives. Overall, we provide the first empirical evidence that firms that use derivatives issue more management forecasts, but we also find that these incremental forecasts are largely uninformative and appear driven by managerial career concerns. |
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text |
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CAMPBELL, John L. CAO, Sean Shun CHANG, Hye Sun CHIOREAN, Raluca |
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CAMPBELL, John L. CAO, Sean Shun CHANG, Hye Sun CHIOREAN, Raluca |
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CAMPBELL, John L. |
title |
The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
title_short |
The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
title_full |
The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
title_fullStr |
The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
title_full_unstemmed |
The implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
title_sort |
implications of firms' derivative usage on the frequency and usefulness of management earnings forecasts |
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Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University |
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2023 |
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https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soa_research/2030 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soa_research/article/3057/viewcontent/Contemporary_Accting_Res___2023___Campbell___The_implications_of_firms_derivative_usage_on_the_frequency_and_usefulness_of.pdf |
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