Evaluating density forecasts with applications to financial risk management
We propose methods for evaluating density forecasts. We focus primarily on methods that are applicable regardless of the particular user’s loss function. We illustrate the methods with a detailed simulation example, and then we present an application to density forecasting of daily stock market retu...
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Main Authors: | Diebold, Francis X., Gunther, Todd A., TAY, Anthony S. |
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Format: | text |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University
1998
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/69 https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/context/soe_research/article/1068/viewcontent/EvaluatingDensityForecastsFinRiskMgt_1998_IEA_afv.pdf |
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Institution: | Singapore Management University |
Language: | English |
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