Defense Spending Cutbacks and Real Interest Rates in the Neoclassical One-Sector and Two-Sector Models

This paper uses the neoclassical one-sector and two-sector models to examine the behavior of real interest rates in response to cutbacks on defense spending on capital goods and army personnel. It is demonstrated that while a permanent decline in defense spending on capital goods and military person...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: HOON, Hian Teck
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 1992
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Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/182
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
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Summary:This paper uses the neoclassical one-sector and two-sector models to examine the behavior of real interest rates in response to cutbacks on defense spending on capital goods and army personnel. It is demonstrated that while a permanent decline in defense spending on capital goods and military personnel leaves the term structure unaffected in the one-sector model, the two-sector model predicts that the short and medium term real interest rates rise to give a downward-sloping yield curve when the capital goods producing sector is relatively labor-intensive.