M-Estimation of Scale Parameters in a Structural Time Series Model

We develop scale estimators of a structural time series model which are robust towards additive outliers. This is done by extending the application of the $M$-estimation technique to the scale estimation problem in time series data. A Monte Carlo experiment is carried out to study the robust propert...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Chow, Hwee Kwan
Format: text
Language:English
Published: Institutional Knowledge at Singapore Management University 1996
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/462
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Institution: Singapore Management University
Language: English
Description
Summary:We develop scale estimators of a structural time series model which are robust towards additive outliers. This is done by extending the application of the $M$-estimation technique to the scale estimation problem in time series data. A Monte Carlo experiment is carried out to study the robust properties of the proposed estimators. The simulation results indicate that the proposed $M$-estimators clearly outperform the maximum likelihood estimators produced by the Kalman filter when the observations are contaminated by outliers.